🌀 Experts predict 2024 could see record-breaking hurricane season

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, set to begin on Sunday, is predicted to be one of the busiest and potentially record-breaking due to a combination of factors. According to the final pre-season forecast by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, the end of one of the strongest El Niño events ever observed is likely to quickly transition to La Niña. This climate pattern tends to reduce wind shear in the tropics, which is conducive to Atlantic hurricane activity. Additionally, the abundant oceanic heat in the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea provides more energy to fuel storms. 🌪️

NOAA has also indicated the possibility of an above-normal West African monsoon this year, which could produce easterly waves that seed some of the strongest and longest-lived Atlantic storms. Light trade winds further allow hurricanes to grow in strength without the disruption of strong wind shear and also minimise ocean cooling. The agency is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms, with as many as 13 becoming hurricanes, and up to seven of those could become major Category 3 or higher hurricanes. 🌀

John Tibbetts, director general of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service, has warned of a potentially intense season and urged people to prepare. He expressed concern over the very high sea surface temperatures, which are at record levels, particularly given the impending transition to a La Niña. AccuWeather forecasters also highlighted the risk this season of rapid intensification of storms, which can catch the public off guard and increase the risk to lives and property. 🌊