🌀 Early predictions indicate a turbulent 2024 hurricane season
🌊 AccuWeather forecasts up to 25 named storms, with as many as twelve becoming hurricanes
As the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season approaches, AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a "super-charged" year with activity well above the historical average. Experts anticipate a turbulent year in the tropics, with between 20 and 25 named storms, and as many as twelve of these becoming hurricanes. AccuWeather's Lead Hurricane Forecaster, Alex DaSilva, has raised concerns about a potential surge in tropical activity, suggesting there is a 10-15% chance of 30 or more named storms this year. 🌪️
DaSilva attributes this forecast to sea-surface temperatures being well above the historical average across the Atlantic basin, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean, and the Main Development Region. These warm temperatures, similar to those observed in March ahead of the significant 2005 and 2020 hurricane seasons, could lead to frequent storm development and increase the potential for rapid intensification of systems. The unusually warm water could also contribute to the formation of tropical systems in November, typically when the Atlantic hurricane season is winding down. 🌡️
The Eastern Pacific is currently transitioning from El Niño, characterized by higher than average temperatures, to La Niña, marked by lower than average temperatures. This swift transition could have significant implications across the Atlantic Ocean, with a faster transition to La Niña likely leading to a more active hurricane season. 🌊
