🌀 CSU forecasts 'extremely active' 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

🌊 Transition from El Niño to La Niña conditions expected to contribute to increased storm activity

🌀 CSU forecasts 'extremely active' 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

Scientists from Colorado State University (CSU), one of the world's most respected storm forecasting institutions, predict that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be extremely active. The expected transition from the current El Niño conditions to La Niña later this year is a significant contributing factor. The team, led by Dr Philip Klotzbach, anticipates eleven hurricanes, five of which will be major, and 23 named storms this season. This prediction is based on the warm tropical and eastern subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the development of La Niña. 🌡️

According to the CSU team, the conditions will likely lead to a continuation of well above-average water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic for the peak of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. The eastern and central Atlantic currently have record warm levels and are expected to remain well above average throughout the season. These conditions favor an above-average season, as hurricanes draw their fuel from warm ocean water. The researchers also predict a well above-average probability of major hurricanes making landfall in the United States and the Caribbean. This forecast aligns with a similar one by AccuWeather. 🌀

Despite these early forecasts, Danielle Coleman, Director of Hazard Management Cayman Islands, stated that they do not significantly alter the approach of government agencies. She emphasized the importance of residents preparing for the hurricane season, regardless of the forecast. The Cayman Islands National Weather Service echoed this sentiment, reminding residents to ensure they are and remain prepared. 🏝️